Campaigns conduct surveys in key states like Ohio so they know which groups of people are most likely to be on their side, who is undecided or against them.
They use the information to appeal to undecided voters and also to discourage their opponents’ supporters from participating in the election.
John Green, emeritus director of the Ray C. Bliss Institute of Applied Politics at the University of Akron, suggests that knowing which group you’re in helps with understanding the complexity of Ohio – and the reasons people think differently.
It also helps people understand how political campaigns are trying to sway their thinking.
After Ohioans were asked in the recent Your Voice Ohio/Bliss Institute poll to rank 16 issues in order of importance, Green divided poll respondents by age, gender, race, education, income, marital status and religion to see how each group compared.
Below are the issues in order of priority and Green’s observations as to who ranked each issue significantly higher than the statewide average for all people. How might these demographics inform the shift in presidential messaging to racially-charged housing issues and law and order, with a focus on white suburban women?
1. COVID-19 – Older people.
2. Economy – More affluent and secure people, including white, older, more educated, higher income, married and likely to have regular church attendance.
3. Health care – Older, white, more educated, married and not likely to attend worship services.
4. Income inequality – Women, white, less income, not likely to attend church.
5. Racism – Women, non-white, younger, unmarried.
6. Food – Less educated.
7. Education – Women, younger, higher income, more education, married, attend church.
8. Criminal justice – Non-white, younger, less income, unmarried and attend church.
9. Housing – Women, less educated, less income, unmarried.
10. Mental health – Women, younger, less income, unmarried.
11. Peace and security – Older, more income, married.
12. Environment – Younger, unmarried, not likely to attend church.
13. Infrastructure – Men, more educated, more income, attend church.
14. Social services – Younger, less income, less educated, unmarried.
15. Addiction– Men, non-white, younger, less educated, unmarried, attend church.
16. Immigration – Men, more income, married.
The poll was conducted by the Center for Marketing and Opinion Research from June 24 to July 15. It has a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points and involved a random sample of 1,037 registered voters.
Your Voice Ohio is a media collaborative of more than 50 news outlets with a mission to represent the voices of Ohio’s diverse population in the 2020 election.